Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000141 0.000156 0.000172 0.000191 0.000212 0.000235 0.000262
2025-07-27 0.000112 0.000134 0.000159 0.000190 0.000229 0.000275 0.000333
2025-08-03 0.000096 0.000121 0.000152 0.000193 0.000247 0.000315 0.000409
2025-08-10 0.000083 0.000109 0.000143 0.000191 0.000256 0.000343 0.000471
2025-08-17 0.000074 0.000100 0.000137 0.000189 0.000265 0.000371 0.000535
2025-08-24 0.000066 0.000092 0.000129 0.000186 0.000270 0.000393 0.000592
2025-08-31 0.000058 0.000084 0.000121 0.000180 0.000270 0.000407 0.000638
2025-09-07 0.000054 0.000080 0.000118 0.000180 0.000279 0.000436 0.000709
2025-09-14 0.000050 0.000077 0.000116 0.000183 0.000292 0.000471 0.000797
2025-09-21 0.000046 0.000072 0.000111 0.000179 0.000295 0.000489 0.000855
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000066 0.000105 0.000172 0.000291 0.000496 0.000894
2025-10-05 0.000040 0.000064 0.000103 0.000174 0.000301 0.000529 0.000985
2025-10-12 0.000038 0.000062 0.000103 0.000177 0.000315 0.000571 0.001103
2025-10-19 0.000035 0.000059 0.000099 0.000176 0.000322 0.000600 0.001200
2025-10-26 0.000033 0.000057 0.000099 0.000178 0.000336 0.000645 0.001337
2025-11-02 0.000031 0.000054 0.000095 0.000176 0.000339 0.000670 0.001435
2025-11-09 0.000029 0.000051 0.000092 0.000174 0.000344 0.000698 0.001546
2025-11-16 0.000027 0.000049 0.000089 0.000171 0.000346 0.000719 0.001641
2025-11-23 0.000025 0.000046 0.000084 0.000166 0.000342 0.000727 0.001708
2025-11-30 0.000024 0.000044 0.000083 0.000166 0.000350 0.000764 0.001851
2025-12-07 0.000023 0.000043 0.000082 0.000168 0.000364 0.000815 0.002038
2025-12-14 0.000021 0.000041 0.000080 0.000165 0.000364 0.000834 0.002145
2025-12-21 0.000020 0.000038 0.000075 0.000159 0.000356 0.000834 0.002199